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[10/08/09 - 11:47 PM] The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season: #9 - Most Shows Lose 25% of Their Debut Audience By Brian Ford Sullivan (TFC) |
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Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.
Welcome once again to "The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season," our annual feature about, well... the 10 things you need to know about the new season. The goal of this venture is to address not only common questions people have about television but to also demystify (or potentially reaffirm) stigmas out there about certain networks, time periods, genres and so forth. So with that in mind let us put on our journalistic caps and give you the cold hard truth about what's potentially ahead for some of your favorite new and returning shows...
9. Most shows lose 25% of their premiere audience by week four.
It shouldn't be too much of a surprise to learn that, for the most part, a new show's audience will fade from week to week. After all, television is weekly commitment and not everyone who watches a show's premiere will be in it for the long haul. But how large is that exodus? It turns out after the first week, 11% of viewers on average don't come back for round two. By the third week, nearly 22% of those initial premiere viewers are gone. Ultimately by a show's fourth installment, 25% of that initial audience will have tuned out. Take a look at how each new show last season fared with each successive week (the number in parenthesis denotes the rank of that week's respective change):
series (network) | week 1 | week 2 | week 3 | week 4 |
mentalist, the (cbs) | 15.6 | -0.64% (7) | -4.49% (6) | -1.92% (6) |
lie to me (fox) | 12.4 | -1.61% (9) | 4.84% (2) | -10.48% (10) |
eleventh hour (cbs) | 11.4 | 4.39% (4) | 3.51% (3) | -1.75% (5) |
life on mars (abc) | 11.3 | -27.43% (39) | -30.09% (31) | -28.32% (24) |
surviving suburbia (abc) | 11.2 | -13.39% (20) | -11.61% (9) | -19.64% (13) |
worst week (cbs) | 10.9 | -17.43% (25) | -19.27% (18) | -10.09% (9) |
castle (abc) | 10.8 | 1.85% (5) | -15.74% (15) | -15.74% (12) |
superstars of dance (nbc) | 10.6 | -8.49% (13) | -32.08% (35) | -38.68% (32) |
harper's island (cbs) | 10.2 | -23.53% (35) | -31.37% (33) | -54.90% (38) |
southland (nbc) | 9.9 | -3.03% (11) | -18.18% (17) | -32.32% (28) |
fringe (fox) | 9.1 | 46.15% (2) | 3.30% (4) | 8.79% (3) |
homeland security usa (abc) | 7.8 | -23.08% (34) | -28.21% (29) | -28.21% (23) |
howie do it (nbc) | 7.8 | -21.79% (32) | -28.21% (28) | -32.05% (27) |
true beauty (abc) | 7.6 | -14.47% (21) | -23.68% (23) | -9.21% (7) |
kath & kim (nbc) | 7.5 | -18.67% (28) | -33.33% (37) | -28.00% (22) |
secret millionaire (abc) | 7.4 | -1.35% (8) | -27.03% (26) | -9.46% (8) |
crusoe (nbc) | 7.4 | -17.57% (26) | -44.59% (40) | -43.24% (36) |
my own worst enemy (nbc) | 7.3 | -21.92% (33) | -27.40% (27) | -41.10% (35) |
america's toughest jobs (nbc) | 7.3 | -2.74% (10) | -10.96% (8) | -44.38% (37) |
cupid (abc) | 7.2 | -20.83% (30) | -15.28% (14) | -22.22% (15) |
hole in the wall (fox) | 7.2 | -44.44% (42) | -25.00% (24) | -34.72% (29) |
parks & recreation (nbc) | 6.9 | -13.04% (19) | -23.19% (21) | -26.09% (18) |
gary unmarried (cbs) | 6.8 | 1.47% (6) | 8.82% (1) | 10.29% (2) |
ex list, the (cbs) | 6.8 | -17.65% (27) | -7.35% (7) | -22.06% (14) |
unusuals, the (abc) | 6.8 | -11.76% (18) | -14.71% (13) | -30.88% (25) |
in the motherhood (abc) | 6.7 | -25.37% (37) | -32.84% (36) | -31.34% (26) |
opportunity knocks (abc) | 6.6 | -9.09% (14) | -21.21% (19) | |
kings (nbc) | 6.1 | -24.59% (36) | -26.23% (25) | -40.98% (34) |
momma's boys (nbc) | 6.0 | -16.67% (23) | -16.67% (16) | -11.67% (11) |
better off ted (abc) | 5.5 | -16.36% (22) | -14.55% (12) | -27.27% (20) |
sit down, shut up (fox) | 5.2 | -19.23% (29) | -59.62% (42) | -71.15% (40) |
dollhouse (fox) | 4.8 | -10.42% (16) | -12.50% (10) | -25.00% (16) |
90210 (cw) | 4.7 | -31.91% (40) | -29.79% (30) | -38.30% (31) |
do not disturb (fox) | 4.7 | -17.02% (24) | -23.40% (22) | |
chopping block (nbc) | 3.8 | -10.53% (17) | -31.58% (34) | -39.47% (33) |
game show in my head (cbs) | 3.4 | 88.24% (1) | 2.94% (5) | 11.76% (1) |
privileged (cw) | 2.6 | -7.69% (12) | -30.77% (32) | -26.92% (19) |
13: fear is real (cw) | 2.4 | -41.67% (41) | -48.33% (41) | -62.50% (39) |
stylista (cw) | 2.3 | -21.74% (31) | -21.74% (20) | -26.09% (17) |
valentine (cw) | 1.1 | -9.09% (15) | -36.36% (38) | -27.27% (21) |
easy money (cw) | 1.1 | -27.27% (38) | -36.36% (39) | -36.36% (30) |
in harm's way (cw) | 0.7 | 14.29% (3) | -14.29% (11) | 0.00% (4) |
average | | -10.88% | -21.54% | -25.47% |
Some other interesting notes: only two of the 19 shows that lost 28% (or more) of their premiere audience got renewed for second seasons: "90210" and "Southland." Conversely, "Gary Unmarried," "Fringe" and "The Mentalist" either built or stayed on par with their debut viewership, not surprisingly earning second seasons in the process. That facet however didn't help "Game Show In My Head," "In Harm's Way" and "Eleventh Hour," all of which were canceled last season. So why were they canceled then? Stay tuned.
TOMORROW: The final tools you'll need to survive the new season.
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[11/26/24 - 03:01 PM] Video: New Games, New Stakes - "Squid Game" Season 2 Main Trailer and Key Art "Round and Round" Unveiled With its premiere just around the corner on December 26, the trailer delivers an electrifying glimpse into the deadly games and gripping character dynamics that await fans worldwide.
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[11/26/24 - 10:09 AM] Video: Acorn TV Releases Official Trailer for Second Season of Hit Australian Drama, "Darby and Joan" The new season debuts with a two-episode premiere, exclusively on Acorn TV, on December 30, followed by weekly episodes through January 27.
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[11/26/24 - 10:01 AM] ABC News Studios Announces Fourth Season of Hit True-Crime Series "Wild Crime," Streaming Dec. 5 Only on Hulu "Wild Crime: Eleven Skulls" delves into the haunting 2012 disappearance of Samantha Koenig, an 18-year-old Anchorage barista last seen leaving her place of work with an unknown man on a dark winter night.
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[11/26/24 - 08:32 AM] Bravo Greenlights "Vanderpump Rules" Season 12 with a New Group of SUR-vers In addition, "Vanderpump Rules" will celebrate the past decade of heartbreaks, friendship rifts and scandals with a retrospective special highlighting the past 11 seasons.
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[11/26/24 - 08:30 AM] Video: Paramount+ and Nickelodeon Reveal Teaser, First-Look Images and Premiere Date for "Henry Danger The Movie" "Henry Danger The Movie" will be available to stream in the U.S. on Paramount+ Friday, January 17, and premiere on Nickelodeon that same day at 7 p.m. (ET/PT).
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[11/26/24 - 08:01 AM] HBO Announces Ian Bonhote & Peter Ettedgui's Award-Winning "Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story," Debuting December 7 on HBO and Max The critically acclaimed film had its world premiere at the 2024 Sundance Film Festival and recently won six Critics Choice Documentary Awards.
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[11/26/24 - 08:00 AM] HGTV Greenlights Gutsy Las Vegas Renovation Series "Sin City Rehab" (wt) Starring Indomitable Designer Alison Victoria The eight-episode series will document Alison, best known for her Emmy-nominated series "Windy City Rehab," taking the biggest gamble of her career as she expands her successful design business out West.
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[11/26/24 - 07:01 AM] Video: "The Manny" Season 2 - Release Date Announcement - Netflix A busy executive hires a cowboy to care for her kids in a moment of panic. Little does she know he'll challenge her views of gender roles - and of love.
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